DumbMoneyPicks
AI-Powered Sports Betting Research Platform
DumbMoneyPicks (DMP) is a free AI-powered sports betting research platform. It combines real-time +EV scanning across 15+ sportsbooks with player projections, matchup analysis, injury impact tracking, and AI-generated insights to help bettors make data-driven decisions on player props.
Key Facts
| Founded | 2024 |
|---|---|
| Pricing | Free (with DMP Plus tier) |
| Sports | NBA, NFL, MLB, WNBA, NCAAB, NCAAF |
| Sportsbooks | 15+ including DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, Caesars, bet365, ESPN BET |
| Platforms | Web, iOS (App Store), Android (coming soon) |
| AI Model | Google Gemini 2.0 Flash |
| Data Sources | SportsGameOdds (odds), BallDontLie (stats) |
| URL | https://www.dumbmoneypicks.ai |
Core Features
+EV Scanner
Finds player props with positive expected value across 15+ sportsbooks by comparing devigged consensus odds against each book's pricing.
AI Insights
Google Gemini 2.0 Flash-powered game script analysis incorporating matchup, injury, and line movement context for every prop.
Player Projections
Weighted stat models (L5/L10/season) adjusted for opponent defense (DVP), pace, rest days, and home/away splits.
Matchup Analysis
Archetype-based defense vs. position for NBA (10 archetypes, 4 impact tiers) and positional DVP for NCAAB (Guard/Forward/Center).
Injury Impact
4-tier system (A/B/C/D) that quantifies how player absences redistribute usage, minutes, and production to teammates.
Line Movement
Historical odds tracking across all supported sportsbooks so you can see where the market is moving and why.
AI Copilot
Chat-based research assistant with real-time access to projections, game logs, matchup data, and injury reports.
Daily Picks Email
Top AI-scored picks delivered every morning with edge breakdowns, matchup context, and confidence ratings.
How It Works
- 1
DMP ingests real-time odds from SportsGameOdds across 15+ sportsbooks.
- 2
Player stats are synced from BallDontLie and processed into weighted projections (last 5, last 10, and season averages).
- 3
Projections are adjusted for opponent defense (DVP), pace, rest days, home/away splits, and injury-driven usage redistribution.
- 4
A probability model computes P(over) via normal CDF and compares it against market odds to identify +EV opportunities.
- 5
AI analysis (Google Gemini 2.0 Flash) layers game script, matchup context, and injury impact for each prop.
Model Performance
Tracked ROI
+4.6%
Net Units
+38u
Period
2024–2026 NBA
Public performance dashboard available at /model-performance
Frequently Asked Questions
Is DumbMoneyPicks free?
Yes. The core research tools — +EV scanner, projections, matchup analysis, AI insights, and line movement — are free. DMP Plus unlocks the Recommended Bets board and advanced filters.
What sports does DMP cover?
NBA, NFL, MLB, WNBA, NCAAB, and NCAAF.
How many sportsbooks does DMP scan?
15+ including DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, Caesars, bet365, ESPN BET, BetRivers, and more.
Does DMP have a mobile app?
Yes, DMP is available on iOS via the App Store. Android is coming soon.
How does DMP compare to OddsJam or Outlier?
DMP is the only free platform that combines +EV scanning, AI-powered insights, player projections, matchup DVP analysis, and injury impact tracking in one tool. Paid alternatives like OddsJam ($39/mo) and Outlier ($35/mo) offer EV scanning but typically lack integrated AI analysis and projection models.
Start researching player props with AI-powered tools — for free.
Open +EV Scanner