Power Arm / K Artist
High-velocity, swing-and-miss stuff that racks up strikeouts at the cost of walks and pitch count.
Signature
Elite K%, elite SwStr%, strong FIP, short outings. The cleanest K prop input in baseball.
Stat Fingerprint
K%
28%+
SwStr%
13%+
FIP
under 3.50
CSW%
32%+
Avg FB velo
95+ mph
Typical IP
5.2 – 6.1
How to bet them
Target pitcher K overs — K% stabilizes at ~60–70 BF, so this signal is live from Opening Day. Fade opposing hits/TB overs vs. K-heavy arms, since strikeouts are zero-BIP events.
Where they fail
Walks and pitch count get them pulled at 5 IP, capping the K ceiling. Against disciplined, contact-oriented lineups their K% collapses and elevated BB% spikes ER props.
Example Players
Spencer StriderJacob deGromTarik SkubalDylan CeaseBlake Snell