Stuff+ / Modern Power
Elite raw pitch quality by the FanGraphs/Stuff+ model — high spin, filthy shape, multi-pitch mix.
Signature
Stuff+ well above 110, high whiff on secondaries, FIP often ahead of ERA in the first few starts as Stuff+ leads results.
Stat Fingerprint
Stuff+
110+
Pitching+
108+
Whiff%
30%+
K%
27%+
How to bet them
The early-season buy. When CSW% and Stuff+ are elite but K results haven't caught up, pitcher K overs carry hidden edge. ER unders are also live when FIP trails Stuff+ expectation.
Where they fail
Command regression turns elite stuff into walks and 3-ball counts. Injury/workload flags (pitch count watched by dev staff) cap IP and K ceilings before results materialize.
Example Players
Paul SkenesTyler GlasnowShohei Ohtani (P)Hunter GreeneBobby Miller