Game Script

The expected flow of a game based on spread, total, and matchup context. A large favorite is expected to lead early, which changes minute distributions and play-calling in the second half.

Like predicting how a movie ends based on the genre — an action movie (close game) keeps all characters busy; a comedy (blowout) lets some leave early.

Why it matters

Game script drives minutes and opportunity — a team expected to blow out its opponent will rest starters in the 4th quarter, capping their counting stats.

How DMP uses this

DMP incorporates game script analysis through spread-implied win probability and blowout risk, adjusting projections when lopsided games are expected.

Common mistake

Ignoring game script when betting star player props — a -12 favorite's best player might only play 28 minutes instead of their usual 35.