Win Rate
The percentage of bets that result in a win, regardless of odds or stake size. A 55% win rate means 55 out of every 100 bets win.
Like a salesperson's close rate — closing 80% of deals at thin margins can be worse than closing 40% at fat margins.
Why it matters
Win rate alone doesn't determine profitability — you need to pair it with average odds to know if you're actually making money.
How DMP uses this
DMP reports win rates for model-recommended props alongside the average odds at which they were recommended, giving a complete picture of model performance.
Common mistake
Chasing a high win rate by only betting heavy favorites — you can win 70% of your bets and still lose money if the odds are too short.