Market Quality
Learn how to assess prop market quality across four dimensions — variance, modelability, market structure, and line efficiency.
You should read this if:
You want to evaluate which prop markets are worth your time — variance, modelability, market structure, and line efficiency.
After this section you'll say:
"I evaluate the market before I evaluate the bet"
How to Evaluate Any Prop Market
A four-dimension framework for assessing any prop market: stat variance, modelability, market structure, and line efficiency.
Low-Variance vs High-Variance Props
A consolidated ranking of every major prop type across NFL, NBA, MLB, and NHL — which deserve your volume and which to limit.
Five Questions Before Any Bet
A 60-second checklist that catches most bad bets before you place them — two-way market, distribution fit, transparent vig, enough data, edge exceeds vig.