NBA Learning Path
Stage 2 • Sport Framework + Props
Find the redistribution. The role, the opportunity change, the game, the defense.
Key Insight
NBA is a redistribution game. Every player's stats are a function of minutes, usage, and pace. When any of those change — injury, lineup shift, pace mismatch — opportunity redistributes. Find it before the market prices it.
The Redistribution Game — Framework Overview
See the full 4-step framework with infographic and FAQ
⚠️ Complete Stage 1 (Market Literacy) before diving into NBA frameworks.
Go to Stage 1NBA Framework
Mental models for understanding how NBA stats are generated
NBA Fundamentals
Why basketball is a redistribution game
The Role — Archetypes & Skill Curves
Step 1: What is this player's job?
The Redistribution — Opportunity Flow
Step 2: Did opportunity change?
The Game — Pace, Script & Minutes
Step 3: What kind of game is this?
The Defense — DVP by Archetype
Step 4: How does this opponent affect this stat?
NBA Prop Day Walkthrough
All 4 steps applied to a real slate
The Role Player Trap
Why more opportunity doesn't always mean more stats
Stats for The Role
Usage rate, minutes, archetypes, skill curves
Stats for The Redistribution
Tier system, on/off impact, redistribution budget
Stats for The Game
Pace, possessions, Vegas total, blowout risk
NBA Props
Prop-specific analysis strategies for NBA
Props We Cover
Quick Reference
- ✓Complete framework pages before prop strategy pages
- ✓Apply frameworks to understand WHY props move
- ⚠️Sport-specific context matters more than generic patterns